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13 WEEK TREASURY BILL (^IRX)

Cboe Indices
4.02 % -0.04 (-1.009%) ⇩ (Oct. 22, 2026, 1:59 p.m. CDT)
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 5:49 a.m. CDT

The 13-Week Treasury Bill (^IRX) is exhibiting aggressive upward momentum, surging 5.7% above its 50-day average and 10.6% above its 200-day baseline, driven by a sharp decoupling from the prior year's yield decline. While the asset recently flirted with its 52-week high of 4.093, the recent price action—closing near 4.06 after a brief dip below 4.00—suggests a robust re-rating of short-term rates as investors pivot away from the 'quiet trouble' narrative regarding Fed liquidity. This technical strength overrides the statistical forecast's slight bearish lean (-0.64%), indicating that the broader macro shift toward higher yields is currently overpowering short-term noise.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.047841
MSTL0.050155
AutoETS0.051914
AutoARIMA0.054471

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 65%
H-stat 38.63
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.047
Excess Kurtosis -1.24

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 7.2597623
All Time High 17.14
All Time Low -0.235
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 0
Average Daily Volume10 Day 0
Average Daily Volume3 Month 0
Average Volume 0
Average Volume10Days 0
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 0
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence LOW
Day High 4.045
Day Low 4.013
Esg Populated 0
Exchange CGI
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/Chicago
Exchange Timezone Short Name CDT
Fifty Day Average 3.9019
Fifty Day Average Change 0.12010026
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.030779943
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 7.2597623
Fifty Two Week High 4.147
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.12499952
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.030142158
Fifty Two Week Low 3.507
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.51500034
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.14684926
Fifty Two Week Range 3.507 - 4.147
First Trade Date Milliseconds -315,312,000,000
Full Exchange Name Cboe Indices
Fullday Change -0.04099989
Fullday Change Percent -1.0091038
Fullday Price 4.0220003
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -18,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 0
Language en-US
Long Name 13 WEEK TREASURY BILL
Market usir_market
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_INDEXIRX
Open 4.043
Previous Close 4.063
Price Hint 4
Quote Type INDEX
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.04099989
Regular Market Change Percent -1.0091038
Regular Market Day High 4.045
Regular Market Day Low 4.013
Regular Market Day Range 4.013 - 4.045
Regular Market Open 4.043
Regular Market Previous Close 4.063
Regular Market Price 4.0220003
Regular Market Time 1,792,695,593
Regular Market Volume 0
Short Name 13 WEEK TREASURY BILL
Source Interval 15
Symbol ^IRX
Tradeable 0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 0
Two Hundred Day Average 3.691925
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.33007526
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.08940465
Type Disp Index
Volume 0