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13 WEEK TREASURY BILL (^IRX)

Cboe Indices
3.71 % +0.01 (0.270%) ⇧ (July 17, 2026, 1:59 p.m. CDT)
Hot Take | July 17, 2026, 6:39 p.m. CDT

The 13-Week Treasury Bill (^IRX) is exhibiting classic 'range-bound consolidation' behavior, trading just above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages while hovering near the lower end of its 52-week range. This technical setup suggests a market in equilibrium where yield stability is prioritizing over directional moves, effectively acting as a defensive anchor amidst broader macro uncertainty. The recent price action shows minor volatility but no breakout energy, confirming that capital remains cautious rather than aggressive, likely influenced by the Fed's recent liquidity interventions which have dampened panic but failed to spark a rally.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.007628
MSTL0.007859
AutoTheta0.013334
AutoARIMA0.022644

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 61%
H-stat 72.17
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.041
Excess Kurtosis 0.03

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -12.218803
All Time High 17.14
All Time Low -0.235
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 0
Average Daily Volume10 Day 0
Average Daily Volume3 Month 0
Average Volume 0
Average Volume10Days 0
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 0
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence LOW
Day High 0.0
Day Low 0.0
Esg Populated 0
Exchange CGI
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/Chicago
Exchange Timezone Short Name CDT
Fifty Day Average 3.64
Fifty Day Average Change 0.06699991
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.018406568
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -12.218803
Fifty Two Week High 4.25
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.543
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.1277647
Fifty Two Week Low 0.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.707
Fifty Two Week Range 0.0 - 4.25
First Trade Date Milliseconds -315,312,000,000
Full Exchange Name Cboe Indices
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -18,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 0
Language en-US
Long Name 13 WEEK TREASURY BILL
Market usir_market
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_INDEXIRX
Open 0.0
Previous Close 3.697
Price Hint 4
Quote Type INDEX
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.00999999
Regular Market Change Percent 0.27048934
Regular Market Day High 0.0
Regular Market Day Low 0.0
Regular Market Day Range 0.0 - 0.0
Regular Market Open 0.0
Regular Market Previous Close 3.697
Regular Market Price 3.707
Regular Market Time 1,784,314,795
Regular Market Volume 0
Short Name 13 WEEK TREASURY BILL
Source Interval 15
Symbol ^IRX
Tradeable 0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 0
Two Hundred Day Average 3.642845
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.0641551
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.017611263
Type Disp Index
Volume 0